{"id":18336,"date":"2023-05-31T10:02:27","date_gmt":"2023-05-31T07:02:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/?p=18336"},"modified":"2023-05-31T10:02:27","modified_gmt":"2023-05-31T07:02:27","slug":"threats-to-the-financial-security","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/threats-to-the-financial-security\/","title":{"rendered":"Hanziuk S., Drai O. Threats to the financial security of Ukraine.."},"content":{"rendered":"

[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n\n\n\n
JEL Classification<\/strong>: C61; G18
\n<\/span><\/td>\n		DOI<\/b>: https:\/\/doi.org\/10.31521\/modecon.V38(2023)-04<\/a><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

[\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]Svitlana Hanziuk, <\/strong>Ph. D. in Economics, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Finance and Accounting, Dniprovsky State Technical University, Kamianske, Ukraine<\/p>\n

ORCID ID:<\/strong> 0000-0001-7859-4708<\/a>
\ne-mail: <\/strong>svetlanaganzyuk@gmail.com<\/a><\/p>\n

Oleksandr Drai, <\/strong>Master of Finance and Accounting Department, Dniprovsky State Technical University, Kamianske, Ukraine<\/p>\n

ORCID ID:<\/strong> 0009-0003-6412-6147<\/a>
\ne-mail: <\/strong>odrai777@gmail.com<\/a><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

Threats to the Financial Security of Ukraine<\/strong><\/h2>\n

\u00a0\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Abstract. Introduction<\/strong>. In the conditions of deepening financial instability of our country, increasing threats to all levels of security, it is important to constantly analyze the values of the main indicators of the country’s financial security and identify potential threats, since in order to implement effective mechanisms for stabilizing the financial system, it is necessary to dynamically assess the most dangerous risks for its functioning.<\/p>\n

Purpose.<\/strong> The purpose of the study is to identify and analyze potential threats to the country’s financial security before and after a full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation through a system of indicators.<\/p>\n

Results.<\/strong> Based on the analysis of changes in the country’s financial security indicators for the period before and after the beginning of the full-scale invasion of the Russian Federation, dangerous zones and threats to the state’s financial security were identified: the debt burden on the state budget, the level of inflation, lending by banks to the real sector of the economy, the dependence of the banking system on foreign capital and the level doubtful debt in the credit portfolio of banks. The situation is related to a full-scale war and forces Ukraine to build up debt to finance hostilities and solve important social issues in conditions of uncertainty, which in the long run, without the possibility of debt cancellation, will have a disincentive effect on the economy. The safe zone includes the share of domestic state loan bonds and international reserves. The forecast of indicators of financial security that were in the critical zone for 2023, using analytical alignment of the dynamic series, demonstrated the deterioration of the values of these indicators.<\/p>\n

Conclusions.<\/strong> 2022 is expected to be a critical year for most indicators of the country’s financial security. It is proposed to implement transformational measures that would take into account the changes taking place in the market of financial services due to the emergence of problems, first of all, resource provision. It is recommended to regulate the regulatory and legal field regarding financial security during martial law and detailing the threats that arose during the war.<\/p>\n

Keywords:<\/strong> financial security; indicators of financial security; threats to financial security; analysis.<\/p>\n

References:<\/strong><\/p>\n

    \n
  1. Subbotovych, Yu. & Antropova, O. (2013). Indicators of financial security of Ukraine. The world of finance, <\/em>2, 144-151 [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  2. Datskiv, R. (2004). Economic security in the global dimension. Actual problems of the economy.<\/em> 2004. 7 (37),143-153 [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  3. Kaminsky, A. (1995). Introduction to international relations. Lviv: Svit [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  4. Maryna, A. (2013). Financial security of the country in the conditions of financial integration: conceptual provisions. Bulletin of Odessa National University. Economy.<\/em> 18, 2(1), 22-25. [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  5. Lewis, D. (2005). Solomon. Financial security & personal wealth. Transaction Publishers [in English].<\/li>\n
  6. Lazareva, A. (2014). Financial security of the country: threats and main directions of displacement. Bulletin of the Azov State Technical University. Series: Economic Sciences<\/em>,<\/em> 27, 88-94 [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  7. Baranovsky, O. \u00a0(2004). Financial security in Ukraine (assessment methodology and mechanisms of provision). K.: NTEU [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  8. Methodological recommendations for calculating the level of economic security of Ukraine. (2013). Retrieved from https:\/\/zakon.rada.gov.ua\/rada\/show\/v1277731-13#Text \u00a0[in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  9. NBU supervisory statistics: National Bank of Ukraine (2023). Retrieved from https:\/\/bank.gov.ua\/ua\/statistic\/supervision-statist \u00a0[in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  10. National accounts: State Statistics Service of Ukraine (2023). Retrieved from https:\/\/www.ukrstat.gov.ua\/ \u00a0[in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  11. Kunytska-Ilyash, M. (2022) Financial security of strategic branches of the national economy: content decomposition and origins of analysis methodology. Bulletin of the Khmelnytskyi National University<\/em>, 1, 195-200 \u00a0[in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n
  12. Budnyk L., Ronska, O. & Lisetska, L. (2022). Financial security of the state under the conditions of marital state. Galician economic journal<\/em>, 77, 4, 138-147 [in Ukrainian].<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n

    [\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]Received:<\/strong> 20 April 2023<\/p>\n

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    Hanziuk S., Drai O. (2023). Threats to the financial security of Ukraine… Modern Economics, 38(2023), 28-33. DOI: https:\/\/doi.org\/10.31521\/modecon.V38(2023)-04.<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n
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    [vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text] JEL Classification: C61; G18 DOI: https:\/\/doi.org\/10.31521\/modecon.V38(2023)-04 [\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]Svitlana Hanziuk, Ph. D. in Economics, Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Finance and Accounting, Dniprovsky State Technical University, Kamianske, Ukraine ORCID ID: 0000-0001-7859-4708 e-mail: svetlanaganzyuk@gmail.com Oleksandr Drai, Master of Finance and Accounting Department, Dniprovsky State Technical University, Kamianske, Ukraine ORCID ID: 0009-0003-6412-6147 e-mail: odrai777@gmail.com  
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