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{"id":22075,"date":"2026-06-02T09:33:29","date_gmt":"2026-06-02T06:33:29","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/?p=22075"},"modified":"2026-06-03T10:12:34","modified_gmt":"2026-06-03T07:12:34","slug":"international-transport-chains-in-the","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/international-transport-chains-in-the\/","title":{"rendered":"Hrabchuk I., Panchenko O., Lisova I. International Transport Chains in the Face of Global Upheavals: Consequences of Crises"},"content":{"rendered":"<section class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<table style=\"height: auto; border: solid 1px white!important;\" width=\"100%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"border: solid 1px white!important;\"><strong>JEL Classification:<\/strong> <i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">F02; F10; L91<\/span><\/i><\/td>\n<td style=\"text-align: right; border: solid 1px white!important;\"><b>DOI<\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">: <a href=\"https:\/\/doi.org\/10.31521\/modecon.V56(2026)-13\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">https:\/\/doi.org\/10.31521\/modecon.V56(2026)-13<\/a><\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]<b>Hrabchuk Iryna, <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Doctor of Economics, Associate Professor, The Head of the Department of International Relations and Political Management, Zhytomyr Polytechnic State University, Zhytomyr, Ukraine<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>ORCID:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-3664-7765\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0000-0003-3664-7765<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<strong>e-mail: <\/strong><a href=\"mailto:kbo_til@ztu.edu.ua\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">kbo_til@ztu.edu.ua<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Panchenko Oles\u0456a, <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Assistant of the Department of International Relations and Political Management, Zhytomyr Polytechnic State University, Zhytomyr, Ukraine<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>ORCID:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0002-2193-1878\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0009-0002-2193-1878<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<strong>e-mail: <\/strong><a href=\"mailto:kmvpm_pos@ztu.edu.ua\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">kmvpm_pos@ztu.edu.ua<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p><b>Lisova Ilona, <\/b><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">higher education student in the specialty \u00abInternational Economic Relations\u00bb, Zhytomyr Polytechnic State University, Zhytomyr, Ukraine<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong>ORCID:<\/strong> <a href=\"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0009-0006-9850-7660\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">0009-0006-9850-7660<\/span><\/a><br \/>\n<strong>e-mail: <\/strong><a href=\"mailto:me8_liv@student.ztu.edu.ua\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">me8_liv@student.ztu.edu.ua<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>International Transport Chains in the Face of Global Upheavals: Consequences of Crises<\/b><\/p>\n<p><b><i>Abstract. Introduction. <\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">The 2020s have brought an unprecedented series of crises to the international freight system, including the pandemic, Russia&#8217;s invasion of Ukraine, the Suez Canal blockade, the Red Sea crisis, the U.S.-China trade war, and the Strait of Hormuz blockade. These events have exposed the acute vulnerability of globally integrated transport networks to cascading disruptions.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><b><i>Purpose.<\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> This article analyzes the impact of the global crises of 2020\u20132026 on international transportation chains and identifies key disruption patterns across different modes of transportation.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><b><i>Results.<\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> A crisis impact matrix revealed that maritime transport sustained catastrophic or significant disruption in every crisis episode, making it the most vulnerable segment of the global system. Aviation was most affected by the pandemic, yet it proved resilient to maritime-related crises. Rail freight demonstrated relative stability with growth on the China-Europe corridor. The conflict between Russia and Ukraine was the only crisis to affect all five transport modes simultaneously. Key structural vulnerabilities identified include the bullwhip effect in supply chains and the high geographical concentration of cargo flows through strategic chokepoints.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><b><i>Conclusions.<\/i><\/b><i><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> The findings confirm that the contemporary international freight system operates under conditions of permanent instability, driven by compounding geopolitical and economic shocks. The asymmetric nature of crisis impacts across transport modes underscores the need for differentiated risk management strategies. The primary adaptation responses identified among market participants\u2014route and supplier diversification, regionalization of production chains, and rebuilding strategic reserves of critical materials\u2014represent essential priorities for logistics operators, foreign trade participants, and public authorities seeking to enhance transport system resilience in an era of persistent geopolitical turbulence.<\/span><\/i><\/p>\n<p><b><i>Keywords:<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> international logistics; international trade; trade war; geopolitical risks; resilience<\/span><\/i><\/b><i>.<\/i><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong style=\"text-align: center;\"><b>References<\/b>:<\/strong><\/p>\n<ol>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kryveshchenko, V., Khmurkovskyi, H., &amp; Liadenko, T. (2024). Optymizatsiia lohistychnykh lantsiuhiv postachannia v umovakh hlobalnykh kryz. Ekonomika ta suspilstvo, 63. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.32782\/2524-0072\/2024-63-110.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Lysonok, A. (2023, February 24). Rik viiny: yak konflikt v Ukraini vplynuv na transportnyi sektor Yevropy? Trans.info. https:\/\/trans.info\/ua\/rik-viyny-yak-konflikt-v-ukrayini-vplynuv-na-transportnyi-sektor-yevropy-328130.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Pasichnyk, T. (2021). Mizhnarodni lantsiuhy postavok v umovakh kovidnoi kryzy. Ekonomika ta suspilstvo, 33. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.32782\/2524-0072\/2021-33-38.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Bown, C.P. (2026, March 16). The Trump-China Trade Wars: Five Takeaways from US Imports in 2025. PIIE Realtime Economics. https:\/\/www.piie.com\/blogs\/realtime-economics\/2026\/trump-china-trade-wars-five-takeaways-us-imports-2025.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Chu, C., Zhang, H., Zhang, J., Cong, L., &amp; Lu, F. (2024). Assessing impacts of the Russia-Ukraine conflict on global air transportation: From the view of mass flight trajectories. Journal of Air Transport Management, 115:102522. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jairtraman.2023.102522.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Fong, C. (2026, March 10). Red Sea Crisis 2026: How the Iran War Is Choking Global Trade. Jarsking.\u00a0 https:\/\/surl.lu\/aypine.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Global recovery on the line as road transport losses escalate (2020, June 30). https:\/\/www.iru.org\/news-resources\/newsroom\/global-recovery-line-road-transport-losses-escalate.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">IATA &amp; McKinsey (2022). Understanding the Pandemic\u2019s Impact on the Aviation Value Chain. International Air Transport Association. https:\/\/www.iata.org\/en\/iata-repository\/publications\/economic-reports\/understanding-the-pandemics-impact-on-the-aviation-value-chain\/<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">International Transport Forum (2021). ITF Transport Outlook 2021. OECD Publishing. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1787\/16826a30-en.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Jacobs, K. (2022, July). Russia&#8217;s War on Ukraine: Maritime Logistics and Connectivity: EPRS At a Glance. European Parliamentary Research Service.\u00a0 (PE 733.603). https:\/\/www.europarl.europa.eu\/RegData\/etudes\/ATAG\/2022\/733603\/EPRS_ATA(2022)733603_EN.pdf.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Kiss, M. (2022, June). Russia\u2019s War on Ukraine: Implications for Transport: EPRS Briefing. European Parliamentary Research Service. (PE 733.536). https:\/\/www.europarl.europa.eu\/RegData\/etudes\/BRIE\/2022\/733536\/EPRS_BRI(2022)733536_EN.pdf.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Parfomak, P.W. (2020). COVID-19: Response of the Oil and Gas Pipelines Sector. Congressional Research Service. https:\/\/www.congress.gov\/crs-product\/IF11476.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Polo Martin, B., Faure, M.-A., Cremaschini, F., &amp; Ducruet, C. (2025). Shipping trade and geopolitical turmoil: The case of the Ukrainian Maritime network. Journal of Transport Geography, 128:104342. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.jtrangeo.2025.104342.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Russon, M.-A. (2021, March 29). The cost of the Suez Canal blockage. BBC News. https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/news\/business-56559073.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Scarpin, M. R. S., Scarpin, J. E., Musial, N.T.K., &amp; Nakamura, W.T. (2022). The implications of COVID-19: Bullwhip and ripple effects in global supply chains. International Journal of Production Economics, 251:108523. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.ijpe.2022.108523.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Shibarshin, D. (2025, May 13). US-China Tariff War 2025: Context, Trade Deal, and Car Shipping Impact. WCS International Car Shipping Blog. https:\/\/www.wcshipping.com\/blog\/us-china-trade-deal-2025-auto-tariffs-shipping.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Twinn, I., Qureshi, N., L\u00f3pez Conde, M., Garz\u00f3n Guinea, C., &amp; Perea Rojas, D. (2020). The Impact of COVID-19 on Logistics. International Finance Corporation (World Bank Group). https:\/\/documents1.worldbank.org\/curated\/en\/944061596087531129\/pdf\/The-Impact-of-COVID-19-on-Logistics.pdf .<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">UNCTAD (2022). Covid-19 and maritime transport. Navigating the crisis and lessons learned. https:\/\/unctad.org\/system\/files\/official-document\/tcsdtlinf2022d1_en.pdf .<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">UNCTAD (2024). Navigating Troubled Waters: Impact to Global Trade of Disruption of Shipping Routes in the Red Sea, Black Sea and Panama Canal: UNCTAD Rapid Assessment. https:\/\/unctad.org\/system\/files\/official-document\/osginf2024d2_en.pdf.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Verschuur, J., Koks, E.E., &amp; Hall, J.W. (2022). Ports\u2019 criticality in international trade and global supply-chains. Nature Communications, 13:4351. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1038\/s41467-022-32070-0.<\/span><\/li>\n<li style=\"font-weight: 400;\" aria-level=\"1\"><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">Zou, L., Dresner, M. E., &amp; Yu, C. (2025). The impact of the U.S.-China trade war on air and ocean shipments. Transport Policy, 160, 89-106. https:\/\/doi.org\/10.1016\/j.tranpol.2024.11.001.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]<strong>Received: <\/strong>07<strong><span style=\"font-weight: 400;\"> April<\/span><\/strong>\u00a0<span style=\"font-weight: 400;\">2026<\/span><\/p>\n<div class=\"sdm_download_item \"><div class=\"sdm_download_item_top\"><div class=\"sdm_download_thumbnail\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"sdm_download_thumbnail_image\" src=\"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/08\/pdf.jpg\" alt = \"hrabchuk.pdf\" \/><\/div><div class=\"sdm_download_title\">hrabchuk.pdf<\/div><\/div><div style=\"clear:both;\"><\/div><div class=\"sdm_download_description\"><\/div><div class=\"sdm_download_size\"><span class=\"sdm_download_size_label\">Size: <\/span><span class=\"sdm_download_size_value\">1,35<\/span><\/div><div class=\"sdm_download_link\"><span class=\"sdm_download_button\"><a href=\"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/?sdm_process_download=1&download_id=21945\" class=\"sdm_download blue\" title=\"hrabchuk.pdf\" target=\"_blank\">Download Now!<\/a><\/span><span class=\"sdm_download_item_count\"><span class=\"sdm_item_count_number\">132<\/span><span class=\"sdm_item_count_string\"> Downloads<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><div class=\"sdm_clear_float\"><\/div>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<table style=\"height: auto;\" width=\"100%\">\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td style=\"background-color: #1abc9c; text-transform: uppercase;\">\n<p style=\"text-align: center; color: white; font-size: 14px; font-weight: 900; text-transform: uppercase; margin: 0; padding: 13.5px;\">How to quote this article?<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td><span data-sheets-root=\"1\">Hrabchuk I., Panchenko O., Lisova I. (2026). &#8220;International Transport Chains in the Face of Global Upheavals: Consequences of<br \/>\nCrises&#8221;. Modern Economics, 56(2026), 91-98.DOI: https:\/\/doi.org\/10.31521\/modecon.V56(2026)-13.<\/span><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row][vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text css=&#8221;.vc_custom_1657628632157{margin-top: 10px !important;}&#8221;]<a href=\"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/issue-56-2026\/\">&lt;&lt; \u041f\u043e\u0432\u0435\u0440\u043d\u0443\u0442\u0438\u0441\u044f \u0434\u043e \u0437\u043c\u0456\u0441\u0442\u0443<\/a>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n<\/section>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_column_text] JEL Classification: F02; F10; L91 DOI: https:\/\/doi.org\/10.31521\/modecon.V56(2026)-13 [\/vc_column_text][vc_column_text]Hrabchuk Iryna, Doctor of Economics, Associate Professor, The Head of the Department of International Relations and Political Management, Zhytomyr Polytechnic State University, Zhytomyr, Ukraine ORCID: 0000-0003-3664-7765 e-mail: kbo_til@ztu.edu.ua Panchenko Oles\u0456a, Assistant of the Department of International Relations and Political Management, Zhytomyr Polytechnic State University, Zhytomyr, Ukraine ORCID:<br \/><a href=\"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/international-transport-chains-in-the\/\" class=\"more\">Read more<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":13475,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[252,67],"tags":[253],"class_list":["post-22075","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-56-2026","category-articles","tag-56-2026"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22075","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=22075"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22075\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":22260,"href":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/22075\/revisions\/22260"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/13475"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=22075"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=22075"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/modecon.mnau.edu.ua\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=22075"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}