JEL Classification: E 44, G 10, G 20. | DOI: https://doi.org/10.31521/modecon.V14(2019)-30 |
Nosan Nataliia, PhD (History), Associate Professor, Associate Professor of the Department of Economics and Entrepreneurship, Cherkasy State Technological University, Cherkassy, Ukraine
ORCID ID: 0000-0002-4005-8333
e-mail: natali_nosan@ukr.net
Retrospective Analysis of the Main Indicators of Ukraine’s Financial Security
Abstract. Introduction. Despite the existence of an officially recommended methodology for assessing the level of economic security of the state, which contains a separate set of indicators for diagnosing the state of its financial component, the last comprehensive analysis of the level of financial security of Ukraine with wide publicity of the results was conducted in 2014. The lack of official data on the state of financial security of Ukraine since 2014 necessitates an expert evaluation of its level in order to formulate in the long term a set of management and regulatory measures aimed at maintaining or stabilizing its current state.
Purpose. The purpose of the study is to establish trends that are characteristic of changing the values of the main indicators of the level of financial security in Ukraine based on a retrospective analysis of the state of a number of financial macroeconomic indicators.
Results. The materials of the research made assumptions about the possibility of conducting an express assessment of the level of financial security of the state on the basis of several basic financial indicators of the state of the national economy. The author’s approach to defining the level of financial security of the state is proposed. A retrospective analysis of the dynamics of such indicators of the level of financial security of the state as a change in the money supply and monetary base, changes in the volume of deposits in national and foreign currencies, changes in lending volumes, changes in the volume of gross domestic product and in financial and insurance activities, the volume of income and expenditure of the state the budget, the size of the public debt was made.
Conclusions. The level of financial security of Ukraine, determined on the basis of separate financial indicators of the state of the national economy, proves the fact of stabilization of the state of the domestic financial system in the last two years. In general, the level of financial security of Ukraine at the beginning of 2019 can be estimated as satisfactory, however, a stable financial dependence on external sources of financial resources in the near future can lead to a loss of state financial sovereignty.
Keywords: security; financial security; financial security indicators; bank security; monetary security.
References:
- Athanasoulis, S., Shiller, R., Van Wincoop, E. (1999). Macro Markets and Financial Security. FRBNY Economic policy review, 21-39.
- Zachosova, N., Herasymenko, O. & Shevchenko, A. (2018). Risks and possibilities of the effect of financial inclusion on managing the financial security at the macro level. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 15(4), 304-319. doi:10.21511/imfi.15(4).2018.25.
- Zachosova, N., Babina, N., Zanora, V. (2018) Research and methodological framework for managing the economic security of financial intermediaries in Ukraine. Banks and Bank Systems,13(4), 119-130. doi:10.21511/bbs.13(4).2018.11.
- Semjonova, N. (2016). Financial Security in the Baltic States: Comparison with Selected EU Countries. Economics and Business, 29, 90-95.
- Hacker, J. S., Huber, G. A., Nichols, A., Rehm ,P., Schlesinger, M., Valletta, R., Craig, S. (2014). The Economic Security Index: a new measure for research and policy analysis. Special Issue: Economic Insecurity: Challenges, Issues and Findings, 60/S1, 5-32. doi:10.1111/roiw.12053.
- Khalatur, S., Pavlova, G. & Zhylenko, K. (2018). The role of some indicators of financial security in Ukraine in the context of transnationalization and national interests. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 15(3), 237-248. doi:10.21511/imfi.15(3).2018.20.
- Vladychyn,, Skomorovych, I., Lobozynska, S. (2018). Assessment of financial and economic security of Ukraine in conditions of foreign banking development. Banks and Bank Systems, 13(3), 151-173. doi: 10.21511/bbs.13(3).2018.15.
- Józef, A. H., Bukhtiarova, A., Chorna, S., Iastremska, O. & Bolgar, T. (2018). Forecasting the level of financial security of the country (on the example of Ukraine). Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 15(3), 304-317. doi:10.21511/imfi.15(3).2018.25.
- Derevyanko, B., Nikolenko, L., Syrmamiik, I., Mykytenko, Y. & Gasparevich I. (2018). Assessment of financial and economic security of the region (based on the relevant statistics of the Donetsk region). Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 15(4), 283-295. doi:10.21511/imfi.15(4).2018.23.
- Perciun,, Stratan, A., Timush, A. (2014). The Methodology of Financial Stability Assessment of Republic of Moldova through Macroeconomic Indicators. Procedia Economics and Finance, 15, 383-392.
- Independent Association of Ukrainian Banks (2018). On National Security of Ukraine. Retrieved from: https://nabu.ua/ru/indikatori-groshovo-kreditnogo-rinku-2.html [in Ukrainian].
Received: 03 April 2019
How to quote this article? |
Nosan Nataliia (2019). Retrospective Analysis of the Main Indicators of Ukraine’s Financial Security. Modern Economics, 14(2019), 193-199. DOI: https://doi.org/10.31521/modecon.V14(2019)-30. |